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American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Temple qualifies for the 2026 American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game scheduled for December 5, 2026. Outcome sourced from American Athletic Conference.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.4¢$4.564.4%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers34¢34%2.1¢—68%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers61¢61%2.3¢—78%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC
American Athletic Conference Football Championship Game Qualifiers9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Dec 20, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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