What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 46¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.57.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 48% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 46%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL Playoff Qualifiers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Winnipeg Jets qualify for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 NHL regular season. If the 2026-2027 NHL season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened such that the outcome cannot be determined, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

46%

Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

92% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
46¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.57	48.4%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	75¢	75%	1.8¢	—	50%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	89¢	89%	0.9¢	—	22%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Playoff Qualifiers	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.