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Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Northwestern covers a +1.5 point spread in the first half of the Northwestern vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
58%
Median YES price across 77 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 58¢ (now) | 2.3¢ | $2.00 | 60.3% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 44¢ | 44% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 43¢ | 43% | 2.3¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 6.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 47¢ | 47% | 2.4¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 62¢ | 62% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 57¢ | 57% | 2.3¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 66¢ | 66% | 2.1¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 6.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 71¢ | 71% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 68¢ | 68% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 29¢ | 29% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 77¢ | 77% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 57¢ | 57% | 2.3¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 77¢ | 77% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 53¢ | 53% | 2.4¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 61¢ | 61% | 2.3¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 74¢ | 74% | 1.8¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 53¢ | 53% | 2.4¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 35¢ | 35% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 74¢ | 74% | 1.8¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 77¢ | 77% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 77¢ | 77% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 72¢ | 72% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 32¢ | 32% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 2.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 62¢ | 62% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 1.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 61¢ | 61% | 2.3¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 3.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 5.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 83¢ | 83% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover 4.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 82¢ | 82% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -14.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -13.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -10.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern cover -9.5 vs the Ohio State in Northwestern vs. Ohio State? | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 28, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 77 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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