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Will the COL Avalanche cover -3.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Avalanche covers a -3.5 goal spread in the Avalanche vs Senators NHL game scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If a shootout determines the winner, the shootout will count as one goal for the winning team. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 49¢ (now) | 2.4¢ | $2.42 | 51.4% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the COL Avalanche cover -3.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 32¢ | 32% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the COL Avalanche cover -2.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the COL Avalanche cover -1.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 40¢ | 40% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the COL Avalanche cover 1.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 83¢ | 83% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the COL Avalanche cover 2.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the COL Avalanche cover 3.5 vs the OTT Senators in COL vs OTT? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover -1.5 vs OTT Senators in the first period of COL vs OTT? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover +1.5 vs OTT Senators in the first period of COL vs OTT? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover -1.5 vs OTT Senators in the second period of COL vs OTT? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover +1.5 vs OTT Senators in the second period of COL vs OTT? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover -1.5 vs OTT Senators in the third period of COL vs OTT? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will COL Avalanche cover +1.5 vs OTT Senators in the third period of COL vs OTT? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 27, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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