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Will the UTA Mammoth cover -3.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Mammoth covers a -3.5 goal spread in the Mammoth vs Golden Knights NHL game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 9:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If a shootout determines the winner, the shootout will count as one goal for the winning team. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 68¢ (now) | 2.1¢ | $1.52 | 70.1% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover -3.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 20¢ | 20% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover -2.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover -1.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover 1.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 68¢ | 68% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover 2.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 81¢ | 81% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will the UTA Mammoth cover 3.5 vs the VGK Golden Knights in UTA vs VGK? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover -1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the first period of UTA vs VGK? | 23¢ | 23% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover +1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the first period of UTA vs VGK? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover -1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the second period of UTA vs VGK? | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover +1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the second period of UTA vs VGK? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover -1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the third period of UTA vs VGK? | 29¢ | 29% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
| Will UTA Mammoth cover +1.5 vs VGK Golden Knights in the third period of UTA vs VGK? | 93¢ | 93% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 26, 07:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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