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Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 25+ on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Tulane wins by a margin of 25+ points in the Tulane vs Rice college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
80%
Median YES price across 49 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
40% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
80¢ (now)1.5¢$0.9581.5%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 25+9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 19-249¢9%0.8¢—18%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 7-1219¢19%1.5¢—38%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 1-622¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Tulane by 13-1813¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Rice by 1-625¢25%1.8¢—50%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Rice by 7-1222¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Rice by 13-1814¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Rice by 25+13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Rice by 19-2413¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Rice70¢70%2.0¢—60%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Neither Team4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Tulane61¢61%2.3¢—78%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Tulane58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Rice73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Neither Team5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Overtime?: Over 0.520¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.535¢35%2.2¢—70%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.598¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.549¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.598¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.598¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.598¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.549¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.599¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 49 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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