What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 81¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $0.90.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 82% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 81%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 25+ on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if UMass wins by a margin of 25+ points in the UMass vs Toledo college football game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

81%

Median YES price across 51 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

38% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
81¢ (now)	1.5¢	$0.90	82.5%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 25+	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 19-24	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 13-18	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 7-12	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Toledo by 1-6	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Toledo by 19-24	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Toledo by 7-12	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: UMass by 1-6	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Toledo by 25+	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Toledo by 13-18	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score Points: UMass	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Toledo	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Neither Team	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: UMass	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Neither Team	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Toledo	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Overtime?: Over 0.5	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 05:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 51 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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