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Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 19-24 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if UTEP wins by a margin of 19-24 points in the UTEP vs Air Force college football game scheduled for November 20, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
| 99¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | 99.1% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 19-24 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 13-18 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 25+ | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 7-12 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: UTEP by 1-6 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: Air Force by 1-6 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: Air Force by 13-18 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: Air Force by 7-12 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: Air Force by 19-24 | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Exact Margin of Victory: Air Force by 25+ | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| First Team to Score a Touchdown: Air Force | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| First Team to Score a Touchdown: Neither Team | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| First Team to Score a Touchdown: UTEP | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Overtime?: Over 0.5 | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5 | 40¢ | 40% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
| Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.5 | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 05, 06:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.