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Will BILIBILI GAMING win Game 1 vs Gen.G Esports on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of Game 1 in the BILIBILI GAMING vs Gen.G Esports LoL match scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a forfeit or disqualification, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a team forfeits, concedes, or is disqualified during the match, and the market can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed, the market will settle accordingly; otherwise the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled

Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
92% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
46¢ (now)2.4¢$2.5748.4%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will BILIBILI GAMING win Game 1 vs Gen.G Esports?43¢43%2.3¢—86%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will BILIBILI GAMING win Game 2 vs Gen.G Esports?41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will BILIBILI GAMING win Game 3 vs Gen.G Esports?41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Chovy record 11 or more kills in Games 1, 2 and 3 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Canyon record 8 or more kills in Games 1, 2 and 3 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Knight record 4 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?45¢45%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Chovy record 4 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?48¢48%2.4¢—96%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Canyon record 3 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?60¢60%2.3¢—80%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Xun record 3 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?48¢48%2.4¢—96%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Kiin record 3 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Viper record 4 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Ruler record 5 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?46¢46%2.4¢—92%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Bin record 3 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?45¢45%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC
Will Canyon record 4 or more kills in Game 1 of BILIBILI GAMING vs. Gen.G Esports?46¢46%2.4¢—92%0Nov 28, 19:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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