What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 40¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.85.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 42% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 40%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will Bam Adebayo record at least 10 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Bam Adebayo records 10 or more points in the MIA Heat vs UTA Jazz professional basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. The listed player must participate in the game by taking the court for any amount of playing time; otherwise, the market will settle to the last fair market price. The market will settle based on the official box score at the conclusion of the game. For purposes of this market, stat corrections enforced after settlement will not count. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two

Market says (typical open contract)

40%

Median YES price across 191 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

80% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
40¢ (now)	2.3¢	$2.85	42.3%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 10 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 15 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	73¢	73%	1.9¢	—	54%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 20 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 25 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 30 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 2 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 4 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 6 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	90¢	90%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 8 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 10 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 12 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 14 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 16 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 1 three-point field goals made in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 2 three-point field goals made in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	34¢	34%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 3 three-point field goals made in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 20 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	95¢	95%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 25 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	81¢	81%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 30 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 35 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 40 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 45 combined points, rebounds and assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 4 three-point field goals made in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 2 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 4 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 6 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Bam Adebayo record at least 8 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 10 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 15 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 20 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 25 points in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 2 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 4 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 6 total rebounds in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 2 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	28¢	28%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 4 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 6 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 8 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 10 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Davion Mitchell record at least 12 assists in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz?	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 191 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.