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Will Los Angeles Rams win the first half on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the first half in the Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals professional football game scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 4:05PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, the market will settle to Tie. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
36%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
72% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
36¢ (now)2.2¢$3.0438.2%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Los Angeles Rams win the first half?70¢70%2.0¢—60%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the first half end tied?14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the first half?30¢30%2.0¢—60%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Los Angeles Rams win the second half?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the second half end tied?14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the second half?31¢31%2.0¢—62%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Los Angeles Rams win the first quarter?67¢67%2.1¢—66%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the first quarter end tied?27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the first quarter?36¢36%2.2¢—72%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Los Angeles Rams win the second quarter?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the second quarter end tied?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the second quarter?39¢39%2.3¢—78%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Los Angeles Rams win the third quarter?67¢67%2.1¢—66%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the third quarter end tied?26¢26%1.8¢—52%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the third quarter?33¢33%2.1¢—66%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Los Angeles Rams win the fourth quarter?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the fourth quarter end tied?22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will Arizona Cardinals win the fourth quarter?44¢44%2.3¢—88%0Nov 30, 02:05 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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