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Salahdine Parnasse Next UFC Opponent on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Salahdine Parnasse's next UFC bout is officially announced to be against Renato Moicano by December 31, 2027. If the UFC does not officially announce a fight for Salahdine Parnasse by December 31, 2027, this market will settle to No. This market will settle based on an official announcement from the UFC, regardless of whether the fight occurs. Outcome sourced from UFC.

Market says (typical open contract)
15%
Median YES price across 3 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
30% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
15¢ (now)1.2¢$4.0416.2%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Salahdine Parnasse Next UFC Opponent14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Salahdine Parnasse Next UFC Opponent29¢29%2.0¢—58%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Salahdine Parnasse Next UFC Opponent15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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