What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 5¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.51.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 5% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 5%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Politics

Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Javier Milei formally ceases to hold the position of President of Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Javier Milei and the government of Argentina. Javier Milei must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

10% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
5¢ (now)	0.5¢	$4.51	5.5%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Jan 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.