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Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026 on Polymarket US

If Donald Trump meets in person with Mojtaba Khamenei between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the listed individuals and major news agencies of record. An in-person meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.5¢$4.466.5%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Who will Trump meet with by the end of 2026?89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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