PredictMeNot
Theme

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Shedeur Sanders on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Shedeur Sanders is traded or released by the Cleveland Browns before the 2026 NFL trade deadline at 4:00 PM ET on November 10, 2026. A trade must be officially processed and approved by the NFL before that deadline for this market to settle to Yes. A release settles this market to Yes whether or not Shedeur Sanders signs with another NFL team before the deadline. If Shedeur Sanders has not been traded or released by the Cleveland Browns before the deadline, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
95%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%
95¢ (now)0.5¢$0.2495.5%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Maxx Crosby99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Brian Thomas Jr.65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Jonah Elliss17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Mac Jones96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Jerry Jeudy99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Kayvon Thibodeaux27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Jonathan Taylor65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
Calvin Ridley95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.