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2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if J.D. Vance receives the most valid votes of any candidate in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. Outcome sourced from the South Carolina Republican Party. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in the specified electoral contest, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $4.61 | 3.3% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
| 2028 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 22, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.