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CMA Winner: Album of the Year on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if The Way I Am - Luke Combs wins Album of the Year at the 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. Outcome sourced from the Country Music Association.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27¢ (now) | 1.9¢ | $3.47 | 28.9% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMA Winner: Album of the Year | 16¢ | 16% | 1.3¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:00 UTC |
| CMA Winner: Album of the Year | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:00 UTC |
| CMA Winner: Album of the Year | 27¢ | 27% | 1.9¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:00 UTC |
| CMA Winner: Album of the Year | 93¢ | 93% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:00 UTC |
| CMA Winner: Album of the Year | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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