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Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Because Today is Saturday is officially nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 88¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $0.57 | 89.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 74¢ | 74% | 1.8¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 90¢ | 90% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 80¢ | 80% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 61¢ | 61% | 2.3¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 87¢ | 87% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 88¢ | 88% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
| Oscar Nominees: Best Animated Short Film | 97¢ | 97% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 05, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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