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Oscar Nominees: Best Sound on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if The Odyssey is officially nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)
94%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%
94¢ (now)0.5¢$0.2994.5%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound94¢94%0.5¢—12%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound97¢97%0.3¢—6%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound94¢94%0.5¢—12%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound94¢94%0.5¢—12%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC
Oscar Nominees: Best Sound94¢94%0.5¢—12%0Feb 05, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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