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NBA Coach of the Year on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Jamahl Mosley wins the NBA Coach of the Year Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Jamahl Mosley ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed coach does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)0.2¢$4.662.2%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year12¢12%1.0¢—24%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year12¢12%1.0¢—24%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year12¢12%1.0¢—24%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
NBA Coach of the Year3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jul 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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