What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 15¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.04.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 16% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 15%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Jamal Murray on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Jamal Murray wins the NBA Clutch Player of the Year Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Jamal Murray ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

15%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

30% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
15¢ (now)	1.2¢	$4.04	16.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Jamal Murray	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Alperen Sengun	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
De'Aaron Fox	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Pascal Siakam	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Devin Booker	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Paolo Banchero	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
James Harden	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jalen Johnson	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
LaMelo Ball	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Stephen Curry	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jalen Williams	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Kevin Durant	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
LeBron James	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jaylen Brown	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Kawhi Leonard	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Joel Embiid	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Donovan Mitchell	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Tyrese Maxey	34¢	34%	2.1¢	—	68%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Karl-Anthony Towns	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Giannis Antetokounmpo	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Anthony Edwards	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jayson Tatum	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Tyrese Haliburton	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Trae Young	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jalen Brunson	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Cade Cunningham	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Nikola Jokic	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Luka Doncic	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Victor Wembanyama	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.