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Paolo Banchero on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Paolo Banchero wins the NBA Finals Most Valuable Player Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Paolo Banchero ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $4.32 | 9.8% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| James Harden | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Dylan Harper | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Davis | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jalen Johnson | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Stephon Castle | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| LaMelo Ball | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Domantas Sabonis | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Rudy Gobert | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Stephen Curry | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jalen Williams | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Kevin Durant | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| LeBron James | 25¢ | 25% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Brown | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Kawhi Leonard | 16¢ | 16% | 1.3¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Donovan Mitchell | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Maxey | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Edwards | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Trae Young | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jalen Brunson | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Cade Cunningham | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Nikola Jokic | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Luka Doncic | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Victor Wembanyama | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.