What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.66.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

VJ Edgecombe on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if VJ Edgecombe wins the NBA Most Improved Player Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If VJ Edgecombe ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.2¢	$4.66	2.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
VJ Edgecombe	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Terrence Shannon Jr.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Reed Sheppard	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Pelle Larsson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Joan Beringer	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Donovan Clingan	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Daniss Jenkins	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Cedric Coward	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Amen Thompson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Stephon Castle	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Rui Hachimura	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Matas Buzelis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Khaman Maluach	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Egor Demin	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Coby White	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Paul Reed	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Naz Reid	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jaden McDaniels	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Davion Mitchell	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ajay Mitchell	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Collin Murray-Boyles	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Zach Edey	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Peyton Watson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ausar Thompson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Walker Kessler	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ty Jerome	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Kel'el Ware	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Payton Pritchard	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Brandon Miller	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Dylan Harper	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ryan Rollins	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jonathan Kuminga	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.