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NBA Western Conference Champion on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Western Conference Finals. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
5¢ (now)0.5¢$4.515.5%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
NBA Western Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Western Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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