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AFC West Division Winner on Polymarket US

If the Los Angeles Chargers are the 2026 AFC West Division Champions, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizer. If the conclusion of the regular season is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the champion is officially determined. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price. If the Los Angeles Chargers are eliminated from contention, this market will settle to No.

Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
42¢ (now)2.3¢$2.7644.3%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
AFC West Division Winner1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
AFC West Division Winner2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
AFC West Division Winner57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
AFC West Division Winner42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Jan 25, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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