What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 4¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.56.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 4% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 4%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Sidney Crosby on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Sidney Crosby wins the NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy for the 2026-27 regular season. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

8% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)	0.4¢	$4.56	4.4%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Sidney Crosby	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Noah Cates	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Robert Thomas	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Tom Wilson	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Roope Hintz	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Brandon Hagel	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mark Stone	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Seth Jarvis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Ryan O'Reilly	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Alex Tuch	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Anton Lundell	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Joel Eriksson Ek	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jordan Staal	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Leon Draisaitl	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mitch Marner	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Shane Pinto	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jack Eichel	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Macklin Celebrini	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Auston Matthews	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Brock Nelson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Sam Reinhart	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Sebastian Aho	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Nico Hischier	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Anthony Cirelli	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Nick Suzuki	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Aleksander Barkov	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.