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Will the total in Mika Petkovic vs. Gianluca Cadenasso be more than 17.5 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if over 17.5 games are played across the full Mika Petkovic vs Gianluca Cadenasso ATP match scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match and the market can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed, the market will settle accordingly; otherwise the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of th
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 52¢ (now) | 2.4¢ | $2.28 | 54.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total in Mika Petkovic vs. Gianluca Cadenasso be more than 17.5? | 67¢ | 67% | 2.1¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the total in Mika Petkovic vs. Gianluca Cadenasso be more than 22.5? | 52¢ | 52% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the total in Mika Petkovic vs. Gianluca Cadenasso be more than 27.5? | 33¢ | 33% | 2.1¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the total in Mika Petkovic vs. Gianluca Cadenasso be more than 2.5? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 23, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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