What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 54¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.18.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 56% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 54%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 134.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Hofstra and Arizona State combine for over 134.5 points in the Hofstra vs Arizona State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

54%

Median YES price across 39 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

92% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
54¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.18	56.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 134.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 136.5?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 132.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 138.5?	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 130.5?	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 140.5?	34¢	34%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 128.5?	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 142.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 126.5?	70¢	70%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 144.5?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 124.5?	75¢	75%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 146.5?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 122.5?	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 148.5?	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 120.5?	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 150.5?	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 118.5?	89¢	89%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 153.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 115.5?	96¢	96%	0.4¢	—	8%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 156.5?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 112.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 159.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 109.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 162.5?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 106.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 165.5?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 103.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 133.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Hofstra score more than 58.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Hofstra score more than 60.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Hofstra score more than 56.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Arizona State score more than 74.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Arizona State score more than 76.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will Arizona State score more than 72.5 points in Hofstra vs. Arizona State?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 64.5?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 62.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 60.5?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 66.5?	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Hofstra vs. Arizona State be more than 58.5?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.