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Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 161.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Mercer and Georgia Southern combine for over 161.5 points in the Mercer vs Georgia Southern men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
64%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
72% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
64¢ (now)2.2¢$1.7166.2%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 161.5?59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 159.5?65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 157.5?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 163.5?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 155.5?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 165.5?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 153.5?80¢80%1.5¢—40%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 167.5?44¢44%2.3¢—88%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 151.5?83¢83%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 169.5?40¢40%2.3¢—80%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 149.5?87¢87%1.1¢—26%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 171.5?35¢35%2.2¢—70%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 147.5?90¢90%0.9¢—20%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 173.5?31¢31%2.0¢—62%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 145.5?93¢93%0.6¢—14%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 175.5?27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 143.5?95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 178.5?21¢21%1.6¢—42%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 140.5?98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 181.5?17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 137.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 184.5?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 134.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 160.5?63¢63%2.2¢—74%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mercer score more than 79.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mercer score more than 81.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mercer score more than 77.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?77¢77%1.7¢—46%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Georgia Southern score more than 80.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Georgia Southern score more than 82.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Georgia Southern score more than 78.5 points in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern?79¢79%1.6¢—42%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 162.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Mercer vs. Georgia Southern be more than 164.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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