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Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 157.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Yale and Baylor combine for over 157.5 points in the Yale vs Baylor men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
57%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
86% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
57¢ (now)2.3¢$2.0459.3%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 157.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 159.5?47¢47%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 155.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 161.5?42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 153.5?63¢63%2.2¢—74%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 163.5?37¢37%2.2¢—74%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 151.5?68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 165.5?32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 149.5?73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 167.5?28¢28%1.9¢—56%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 147.5?78¢78%1.6¢—44%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 169.5?24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 145.5?82¢82%1.4¢—36%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 171.5?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 143.5?86¢86%1.1¢—28%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 173.5?17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 141.5?89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 176.5?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 138.5?93¢93%0.6¢—14%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 179.5?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 135.5?96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 182.5?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 132.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 185.5?16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 129.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 188.5?11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Yale vs. Baylor be more than 126.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Yale score more than 67.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Yale score more than 69.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Yale score more than 65.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Baylor score more than 89.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Baylor score more than 91.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Baylor score more than 87.5 points in Yale vs. Baylor?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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