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Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 29.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if James Madison and UConn combine for over 29.5 points in the James Madison vs UConn college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
60%
Median YES price across 103 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
80% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
60¢ (now)2.3¢$1.9062.3%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 29.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 36.5?96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 40.5?91¢91%0.8¢—18%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 43.5?87¢87%1.1¢—26%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 47.5?78¢78%1.6¢—44%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 50.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 51.5?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 52.5?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 53.5?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 54.5?62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 55.5?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 56.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 57.5?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 58.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 59.5?47¢47%2.4¢—94%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 60.5?45¢45%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 61.5?44¢44%2.3¢—88%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 62.5?41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 63.5?39¢39%2.3¢—78%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 64.5?37¢37%2.2¢—74%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 67.5?30¢30%2.0¢—60%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 71.5?23¢23%1.7¢—46%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 74.5?19¢19%1.5¢—38%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 78.5?16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 85.5?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 12.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 19.5?98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 26.5?77¢77%1.7¢—46%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 23.5?85¢85%1.2¢—30%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 27.5?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 29.5?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 30.5?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 37.5?42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 28.5?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 44.5?28¢28%1.9¢—56%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 33.5?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 26.5?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 27.5?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 29.5?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC
Will the total in James Madison vs. UConn be more than 28.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 28, 22:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 103 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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