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Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 38.5 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Kansas and West Virginia combine for over 38.5 points in the Kansas vs West Virginia college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
68%
Median YES price across 103 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
64% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 68¢ (now) | 2.1¢ | $1.52 | 70.1% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 38.5? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 45.5? | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 49.5? | 89¢ | 89% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 52.5? | 85¢ | 85% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 56.5? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 59.5? | 71¢ | 71% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 60.5? | 70¢ | 70% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 61.5? | 68¢ | 68% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 62.5? | 65¢ | 65% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 63.5? | 62¢ | 62% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 64.5? | 61¢ | 61% | 2.3¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 65.5? | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 66.5? | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 67.5? | 50¢ | 50% | 2.4¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 68.5? | 48¢ | 48% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 69.5? | 44¢ | 44% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 70.5? | 44¢ | 44% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 71.5? | 44¢ | 44% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 72.5? | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 73.5? | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 76.5? | 32¢ | 32% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 80.5? | 25¢ | 25% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 83.5? | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 87.5? | 17¢ | 17% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 94.5? | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 17.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 24.5? | 94¢ | 94% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 28.5? | 80¢ | 80% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 31.5? | 65¢ | 65% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 32.5? | 66¢ | 66% | 2.1¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 33.5? | 68¢ | 68% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 34.5? | 52¢ | 52% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 35.5? | 53¢ | 53% | 2.4¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 38.5? | 45¢ | 45% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 42.5? | 48¢ | 48% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 49.5? | 50¢ | 50% | 2.4¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 32.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 33.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 34.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
| Will the total in Kansas vs. West Virginia be more than 31.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 03:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 103 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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