What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 59¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $1.95.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 61% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 59%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 18.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Nevada and Northern Illinois combine for over 18.5 points in the Nevada vs Northern Illinois college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

59%

Median YES price across 103 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

82% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
59¢ (now)	2.3¢	$1.95	61.3%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 18.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 25.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 32.5?	90¢	90%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 39.5?	75¢	75%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 36.5?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 40.5?	73¢	73%	1.9¢	—	54%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 29.5?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 41.5?	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 42.5?	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 43.5?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 44.5?	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 45.5?	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 46.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 47.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 48.5?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 49.5?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 50.5?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 51.5?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 52.5?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 53.5?	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 56.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 60.5?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 63.5?	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 67.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 74.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 7.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 14.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 18.5?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 21.5?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 22.5?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 23.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 25.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 24.5?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 28.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 32.5?	37¢	37%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 39.5?	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 24.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 21.5?	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 25.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Nevada vs. Northern Illinois be more than 22.5?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 29, 01:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 103 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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