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Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 16.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if UAB and Temple combine for over 16.5 points in the first half of the UAB vs Temple college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
56%
Median YES price across 103 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
88% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
56¢ (now)2.3¢$2.0958.3%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 16.5?87¢87%1.1¢—26%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 9.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 20.5?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 23.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 24.5?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 26.5?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 27.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 30.5?38¢38%2.2¢—76%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 41.5?24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 34.5?35¢35%2.2¢—70%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 25.5?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 23.5?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 25.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 24.5?59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 26.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 27.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 11.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 12.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 10.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 13.5?48¢48%2.4¢—96%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 14.5?25¢25%1.8¢—50%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 12.5?79¢79%1.6¢—42%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 10.5?80¢80%1.5¢—40%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 11.5?80¢80%1.5¢—40%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 14.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 13.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 11.5?59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 10.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 12.5?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 14.5?34¢34%2.1¢—68%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 13.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 10.5?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 12.5?74¢74%1.8¢—52%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 14.5?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 11.5?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 13.5?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 10.5?94¢94%0.5¢—12%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 23.5?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 21.5?61¢61%2.3¢—78%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in UAB vs. Temple be more than 24.5?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 28, 23:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 103 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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