What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 53¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.23.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 55% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 53%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 228.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if MIA Heat and UTA Jazz combine for over 228.5 points in the MIA Heat vs UTA Jazz professional basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

53%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

94% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
53¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.23	55.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 228.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 200.5?	95¢	95%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 202.5?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 204.5?	92¢	92%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 206.5?	91¢	91%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 208.5?	88¢	88%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 210.5?	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 212.5?	83¢	83%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 214.5?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 216.5?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 218.5?	71¢	71%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 220.5?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 222.5?	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 224.5?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 226.5?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 230.5?	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 232.5?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 234.5?	37¢	37%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 236.5?	34¢	34%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 238.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 240.5?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 242.5?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 244.5?	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 246.5?	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 248.5?	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 250.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 252.5?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 254.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 256.5?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in MIA Heat vs. UTA Jazz be more than 227.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.