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Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 221.5 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if ORL Magic and SAC Kings combine for over 221.5 points in the ORL Magic vs SAC Kings professional basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 188 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 52¢ (now) | 2.4¢ | $2.28 | 54.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 221.5? | 56¢ | 56% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 193.5? | 97¢ | 97% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 195.5? | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 197.5? | 94¢ | 94% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 199.5? | 93¢ | 93% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 201.5? | 91¢ | 91% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 203.5? | 88¢ | 88% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 205.5? | 85¢ | 85% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 207.5? | 82¢ | 82% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 209.5? | 79¢ | 79% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 211.5? | 75¢ | 75% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 213.5? | 72¢ | 72% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 215.5? | 67¢ | 67% | 2.1¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 217.5? | 64¢ | 64% | 2.2¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 219.5? | 60¢ | 60% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 223.5? | 50¢ | 50% | 2.4¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 225.5? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 227.5? | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 229.5? | 37¢ | 37% | 2.2¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 231.5? | 33¢ | 33% | 2.1¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 233.5? | 29¢ | 29% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 235.5? | 25¢ | 25% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 237.5? | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 239.5? | 19¢ | 19% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 241.5? | 17¢ | 17% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 243.5? | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 245.5? | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 247.5? | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 249.5? | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 98.5? | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 100.5? | 91¢ | 91% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 102.5? | 86¢ | 86% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 104.5? | 82¢ | 82% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 106.5? | 75¢ | 75% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 108.5? | 71¢ | 71% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 110.5? | 64¢ | 64% | 2.2¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 112.5? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 114.5? | 52¢ | 52% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 116.5? | 40¢ | 40% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in ORL Magic vs. SAC Kings be more than 118.5? | 34¢ | 34% | 2.1¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 25, 03:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 188 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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