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Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 11.5 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens combine for over 11.5 points in the first half of the Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens professional football game scheduled for November 16, 2026 at 8:15PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
59%
Median YES price across 175 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
82% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 59¢ (now) | 2.3¢ | $1.95 | 61.3% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 11.5? | 89¢ | 89% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 13.5? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 15.5? | 75¢ | 75% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 17.5? | 60¢ | 60% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 18.5? | 59¢ | 59% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 19.5? | 53¢ | 53% | 2.4¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 20.5? | 45¢ | 45% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 21.5? | 42¢ | 42% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 23.5? | 34¢ | 34% | 2.1¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 25.5? | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 27.5? | 20¢ | 20% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 11.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 13.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 15.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 17.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 18.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 19.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 20.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 21.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 23.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 25.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 27.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 0.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 3.5? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 5.5? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 7.5? | 44¢ | 44% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 8.5? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 9.5? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 10.5? | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 11.5? | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 13.5? | 23¢ | 23% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 15.5? | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 18.5? | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 21.5? | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 24.5? | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 0.5? | 97¢ | 97% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 3.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 5.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 7.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
| Will the total in LA Chargers vs. BAL Ravens be more than 8.5? | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Dec 01, 06:15 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 175 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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