What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 38¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.94.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 40% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 38%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 16.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals combine for over 16.5 points in the first half of the Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals professional football game scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 4:05PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

38%

Median YES price across 177 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

76% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
38¢ (now)	2.2¢	$2.94	40.2%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 16.5?	69¢	69%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 18.5?	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 20.5?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 22.5?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 23.5?	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 24.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 25.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 26.5?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 28.5?	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 30.5?	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 32.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 16.5?	81¢	81%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 18.5?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 20.5?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 22.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 23.5?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 24.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 25.5?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 26.5?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 28.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 30.5?	27¢	27%	1.9¢	—	54%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 32.5?	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 0.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 3.5?	90¢	90%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 6.5?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 8.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 10.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 11.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 12.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 13.5?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 14.5?	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 16.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 18.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 21.5?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 24.5?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 27.5?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 0.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 3.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 6.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC
Will the total in LA Rams vs. ARI Cardinals be more than 8.5?	87¢	87%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 30, 02:05 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 177 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.