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How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In Tennessee on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Tennessee in the 2026 United States midterm election is equal to 1. Outcome sourced from relevant state electoral authorities. All Tennessee US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relev
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
| 93¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $0.33 | 93.6% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In Tennessee? | 93¢ | 93% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Apr 01, 03:00 UTC |
| How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In Tennessee? | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Apr 01, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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